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Tech stocks are heavily exposed to China, which could put gains at risk, according to Piper Sandler. Tech companies are especially vulnerable to any weakness in China, with semiconductor businesses notably generating more than 30% of their sales in the country, the note read. In April, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has dropped about 7%, underperforming the S & P 500's more than 3% decline during the same period. "S & P large caps have near-record exposure to a China that is wobbly economically, with an increasingly authoritarian Heavy Hand of regulation," Lazar wrote Wednesday. S & P Global Ratings this week noted the country could be in for a new wave of bond defaults that could come as soon as next year, further fueling those worries.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Nancy Lazar, Lazar, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: Tech, Street Journal, VanEck Semiconductor, Devices, Intel Locations: China, Beijing, Shanghai
The US economy is facing a rare and difficult bifurcation, says Piper Sandler's head economist. The economist forecasts 53% odds of recession but adds that one is needed to bring down inflation. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe US is navigating a "bifurcated" economy that's only been seen twice before, with both times ending in a recession, according to a top economist. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Piper, , Nancy Lazar Organizations: Service, Fox Business Network, Business
House Republican hardliners' efforts to stonewall a budget deal ahead of a looming government shutdown could risk triggering automatic spending cuts later this spring that may put pressure on the U.S. economy's already fraught recovery. A full-year budget deal to avert the FRA cuts appears increasingly unlikely, amid staunch opposition from the House's ultraconservative wing. Freedom Caucus derailmentMembers of the House Freedom Caucus, a coalition of hardline conservatives, have been working to derail a permanent budget. Instead, they want to extend the current temporary spending resolution through the rest of the fiscal year, ensuring the FRA's spending cuts are triggered on April 30. But if the FRA's automatic spending cuts take effect, they could rattle the broader economy's teetering recovery.
Persons: Mike Johnson, Jake Sullivan, economy's, Joe Biden, Chuck Schumer, Mitch McConnell, Hakeem Jeffries, Jan, Johnson, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, McConnell, Piper Sandler, Nancy Lazar, Lazar, Sen, Patty Murray Organizations: National Security, U.S, Capitol, House Republican, Congressional Research Service, Caucus, Democrat, Freedom Caucus, Congressional Locations: Washington ,, stonewall, D
If the US wants a soft landing, it needs to enact fiscal measures like student-loan forgiveness and tax cuts, Piper Sandler's chief global economist said. "There could easily be an additional 1.5% boost to GDP from fiscal stimulus this year," she wrote. AdvertisementIf the US economy wants to stick a soft landing, the government is going to have to loosen the purse strings. There are three times in history that the US has been able to nail a soft landing: 1967, 1985, and 1995. "Easing amid material fiscal stimulus risks repeating the Martin Fed's mistake...which set the stage for the 1970s' disastrous inflation cycle," she wrote.
Persons: Piper, Nancy Lazar, , Piper Sandler's, Lazar, doling, Smith, Bill Martin, Martin Organizations: Drivers, Service, Congressional, Bloomberg, Fed, US
After five months and 53 shows, the economic impact of Swift's "The Eras Tour" was monumental and non-stop. Consider the following:"Taylor Swift's 'Eras' tour is rewriting the playbook of entertainment economics," Chris Leyden, director of growth marketing at SeatGeek told CNN. "It's no surprise that people are flocking to this Eras Tour experience in what is increasingly an otherwise digital environment we live in." AdvertisementAdvertisementOne Swiftie who spoke with Insider called their "Eras Tour" trip "a little bit concert, a little bit vacation." — Taylor Swift, who is releasing a film version of "The Eras Tour."
Persons: Taylor Swift, Swift, Taylor, Chris Leyden, SeatGeek, She's, , Omar Vega, Alice Enders, Grace Smith, Andrew Heilmann, Robert Douglas, Cork, Oppenheimer, Klaus Vedfelt Piper, Nancy Lazar, Lazar, Barbie, — Taylor Swift, Charlie Harding Organizations: Service, CNN, Bloomberg News, Enders Analysis, World Trade Organization, MediaNews, Denver, Getty, Moody's, Cork Gaines, Bloomberg, Global, Fox News Digital, WGA Locations: Wall, Silicon, Arlington , Texas, LA, , Hollywood
Consumer spending held up the US economy even as many worried about the prospect of a recession. Even as interest rates skyrocketed over the past 18 months, strong consumer spending kept the US economy moving. Higher rates start to biteLet's start with interest rates. Credit-card debt, in contrast, tends to move up and down with interest rates. That COVID cash stockpile helped support the economy despite rising interest rates and historically high inflation.
Persons: Barbie, Taylor Swift, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Morgan Stanley, Janet Yellen, Yellen, John David Rainey, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, We've, Piper, Nancy Lazar, Lazar Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Credit, Federal Reserve Bank of New, CNBC, San Francisco Fed, Walmart, Fox News Digital Locations: Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's EV focus is in the pursuit of self-sufficiency, says Piper Sandler's Nancy LazarDerek Scissors, Asia economist at the American Enterprise Institute and Nancy Lazar, chief global economist at Piper Sandler, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss China's effort to become self-sufficient, China's effort to grow its global auto market, and locating the timeline for peak pessimism of China's economy.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Nancy Lazar Derek Scissors, Nancy Lazar, Piper Sandler Organizations: American Enterprise Institute Locations: Asia
Watch CNBC's full interview with Piper Sandler's Nancy Lazar
  + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Piper Sandler's Nancy LazarNancy Lazar, chief global economist at Piper Sandler, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss bond yield indicating recession in Q4, misconceptions about the lag effect of Fed tightening, and wage increases adding pressure to profit margins.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Nancy Lazar Nancy Lazar, Piper Sandler, Steve Liesman
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession is needed to see a sustained shift down in inflation, says Piper Sandler's Nancy LazarNancy Lazar, chief global economist at Piper Sandler, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss bond yield indicating recession in Q4, misconceptions about the lag effect of Fed tightening, and wage increases adding pressure to profit margins.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Nancy Lazar Nancy Lazar, Piper Sandler, Steve Liesman
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